Why Should We Rethink the Cost Approach? A French Signal for the Ukrainian Market

In France, the ARENH mechanism — a tool that for over a decade ensured supplier access to electricity from nuclear power plants at a fixed price of €42/MWh — is coming to an end. Starting in 2026, France will transition to a fully market-based model, backed by transparent regulatory instruments and consumer protection measures.

At the heart of this new model lies a key component: the calculation of the full cost of nuclear generation. This will become the basis for price forecasting, taxation policies, and income redistribution.

For Ukraine — where nuclear generation plays a dominant role and is essentially represented by a single producer — France’s experience may serve as a valuable reference.

Although electricity in Ukraine is traded through the market, the issues of cost transparency and price justification remain unresolved. This is why introducing mechanisms to ensure a balanced approach between producer and consumer interests is worth considering.

Global best practices show: transparency, economic soundness, and trust in the market are fundamental to sustainable energy development.


What’s happening in France?

On December 31, 2025, the ARENH system will expire — a mechanism that, since 2011, allowed suppliers to purchase electricity from EDF’s legacy nuclear power plants at €42/MWh.

From January 1, 2026:

  • Suppliers will buy electricity only from the market or rely on their own generation capacity.
  • The wholesale price will become the basis for retail pricing.

What replaces ARENH? — A New Consumer Protection Mechanism

According to the 2025 Finance Law:

  • Introduction of the Universal Nuclear Contribution (VNU) — a safeguard against wholesale price spikes.
  • Tax on EDF’s nuclear windfall profits, triggered only if pre-defined thresholds are exceeded.
  • All excess revenue will be redistributed to benefit consumers.

Role of the French Energy Regulator (CRE):

  • Increased wholesale market oversight, including quarterly bulletins.
  • Monitoring of market liquidity, especially for long-term contracts.
  • Assessment of the actual cost of nuclear production to define taxation thresholds.
  • Coordination with EDF to separate revenues by source (nuclear, RES, hydro).

Prices and Outlook:

  • Forward prices for 2026–2028 remain stable — around €60/MWh.
  • France is projected to have some of the lowest electricity prices in Europe, creating favorable conditions for long-term contracts.

France is sending a signal: cost transparency, fair regulation, and consumer protection can coexist in a competitive market. For Ukraine, this is not just a European reference point — it’s a strategic opportunity for deeper reform.

https://www.cre.fr/actualites/toute-lactualite/la-cre-publie-son-premier-bulletin-trimestriel-de-lactivite-des-marches-de-gros-de-lelectricite-dans-le-cadre-de-ses-travaux-relatifs-au-bon-fonctionnement-du-marche-apres-la-fin-de-lacces-regule-a-lelectricite-nucleaire-historique.html?fbclid=IwY2xjawLom6hleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHo1U0cShKAfuH7SIWzgljKQk5BfYIkvQcYbN0inUvv_86r-JhsRwX4rOnvzj_aem_wkklXui5PLXWTGyEWZDN2A

Scroll to Top